Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is betting big on the growing world of event-based markets. The company announced plans to invest up to USD 2 billion (ca. EUR 1.7 billion) in Polymarket, valuing the prediction platform at around USD 8 billion (ca. EUR 6.9 billion) before the investment. The ICE Polymarket investment aims to fuse real-time sentiment data with financial market insights, marking another step toward data-driven trading innovation.

• ICE, known for operating global exchanges including the NYSE, will become a global distributor of Polymarket’s event-driven data. The partnership will enable ICE to offer market participants sentiment indicators on topics influencing financial decisions. Both sides are also exploring future tokenisation projects built around blockchain infrastructure.

• Founded in 2020 by Shayne Coplan, Polymarket allows users to trade on outcomes of real-world events via smart contracts. The platform has built a strong following for its predictive accuracy and currently partners with social media platform X and investor community Stocktwits as their official prediction market provider.

• ICE Chair and CEO Jeffrey Sprecher said the move connects “a company founded in 1792 with a forward-thinking innovator in Decentralized Finance.” He praised Polymarket’s focus on user-driven product development and added that the partnership opens “unique opportunities across markets” combining data, distribution and DeFi innovation.

• CEO Shayne Coplan called the deal “a major step in bringing prediction markets into the financial mainstream.” He said the partnership blends ICE’s institutional credibility with Polymarket’s consumer reach to create new ways for individuals and institutions “to understand and price the future.”

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